Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Is Missouri a red state? There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. But Pennsylvania is now red. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. And West Virginia is losing. All three of those states were very close in both elections. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Idaho. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. Manage Settings Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . Press Enter to view state-level map. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. It is not a blue state or a red state. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Vice versa for Montana. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . Same caution about borders applies. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. VOA explains. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. 4, another 2020 red state. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Not one! We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. These are general election results for the years listed. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. List Of Blue States And Red States No. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. You have to beware with these reports, though. But registration figures vary greatly by county. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. Hi everyone from D.C.! Continue with Recommended Cookies. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Anita What do you want to know? Sorry Marc. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. If . After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. Special elections, if any, are excluded. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . I think it's the state to watch. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. It is not a red state. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. These are general election results for the years listed. These are general election results for the years listed. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. How red or blue is your state? Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. #V. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. All Rights Reserved. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue".
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