According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Happy holidays! Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. This is the second episode. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 0:00:00 As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. So, the usual. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. 450 episodes. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). File Upload. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? heritage commons university of utah. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. No products in the cart. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. All. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The State Of The Polls, 2016. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . The Supreme Court Not So Much. They consider how much. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Today those numbers have flipped. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. police- settlements. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . 01:00 PM. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. It's easy. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". 01:06 PM. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. r/fivethirtyeight. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion.
