The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Velocity? Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). Let's take a look at Flaherty. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. 1st stage: All good. Kimbrel has an option for next year, which I think is likely to be exercised, so he wont be a free agent until 2023. The 40-year . Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. Just to be clear, its not an injury deal; its about him not syncing his body up correctly, and he didnt feel like he was getting the leg drive he typically gets, Cardinals manager Oli Marmol said. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. But until we see Jack pitching in games against opposing hitters in game conditions down there in Florida and recovering on time to do it again, and again, and again Ill have to take the wait-and-see approach. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. Among those who are retired and eligible for Cooperstown, the 65th greatest starter of all-time is actually a pretty sufficiently big nameDwight Gooden. Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Theyll defer. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Terms of Service. While Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina are already committed to retirement, what becomes of star pitcher Adam Wainwright remains a question for St. Louis fans. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. Ive covered the Mets for a variety of outlets since 1997. Arizona Diamondbacks. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. His induction was most likely heavily influenced by his passing, but I think sets the bar for what a pitcher needs to have accomplished in recent years. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." He became a member of the Cardinals when the Atlanta Braves traded him for J.D. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Drew move to Atlanta. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Your existing password has not been changed. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. 9 mo. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. King Felix is still just 31 years old, despite close to 2,500 innings on his right arm. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Enter your email address to get a new one. Will this happen? All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. We didn't recognize that password reset code. According to tracking done by Baseball Reference he faced mostly Double A hitters. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard. Not an injury issue? Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. But if youd told me four years ago when his career looked absolutely left for dead that I would even half-heartedly entertain the notion, I would have doubted that even more. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. 2020 has given us many. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. . Wainwright threw his sinker, cutter and curveball the most, and the velocity on all three pitches measured a significant drop-off from last season. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. 55 votes, 66 comments. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. Adam Wainwright Stats. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. We use cookies to improve your experience. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). Hall of Very Good. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Drew. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. Adam Wainwright never won a Cy Young Award. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Hes certainly on pace for the Hall, but a lot of it will depend on how he can rebound following his off-the-field motorcycle accident. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. Look at that. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. Privacy Policy Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. It happens a lot. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. Central Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto headlines the list of players in the National League West who are on track to have a chance to make it into baseball's Hall of Fame. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Among the sixty-five (again, the number of Hall of Fame starting pitchers) greatest starting pitchers in history, five are either currently active or retired but not yet Hall eligibleJustin Verlander, Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Zack Greinke, and CC Sabathia. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? More From This Game. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. But the guys that have got in recently just have been the best at the craft for a decade, Wainwright said. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. Perhaps his national profile and general likability increases due to his seemingly inevitable second act as a broadcasterWainwright received rave reviews as a postseason broadcaster last yearand this media visibility helps him in a media-driven contest such as Hall of Fame balloting.